
We began taking observations over 150 years ago and today our network of weather stations in the UK and around the world provide us with millions of observations each day. The Met Office Academic Partnership is a formal collaboration between ourselves and six UK universities that are leaders in weather and climate science (University of Exeter, University of Leeds, University of Oxford, University of Reading, University of Bristol and University College London) to advance the science and skill of weather and climate prediction. Over 300 operational meteorologists analyse our weather data to deliver the most up-to-date accurate forecasts. Our expert physicists and mathematicians use their combined skills in developing our weather models. Supercomputer capability has helped us increase the resolution of our models, to 1500 metres in the UK, and make high resolution forecasts even further in advance. Our weather models are now harnessing the processing power and computational capacity of our new supercomputer, helping us provide even more detailed data and forecasts and earlier warnings of severe weather. World’s most powerful environmental supercomputer A gale warning was issued for over 95% of gales that occurred. Our inshore waters and shipping forecasts were 98.3% and 96.1% correct to within 1 Beaufort force category. When compared against our best estimate of the actual wind speed our verification systems 1 indicate that during 2020: We have been providing uninterrupted marine forecasts since 1867. Our space weather forecasts help keep the world’s technology safe from solar flares. We help protect UK forces on exercises and missions around the world. We use our accurate forecasting skill to warn the Government, public, emergency responders and businesses of severe or hazardous weather which has the potential to cause danger to life or widespread disruption to property and key infrastructure. The Met Office’s four day forecast is now as accurate as our one day forecast was 30 years ago.Ī measure of our progress is that 92% of the Met Office’s next day temperature forecasts are accurate within 2 degree C and 91% of the Met Office’s next day wind speed forecasts are correct within 5 knots. We continually push to improve our accuracy.
The high level of trust in our forecast accuracy is underlined by the fact that our model is used under licence by six other forecast centres and over 50 research centres around the world.The Met Office is one of just two World Area Forecasting Centres that advise airlines operating right across the globe. World-leading accuracy is essential to the safety of life.
Our global Numerical Weather Prediction model, the foundation of our accurate weather provision, is recognised as a world leading National Met Service model verified* using standards defined by the World Meteorological Organisation.